Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment

ability accuracy accurate actors Amos Tversky assessment attribution theory availability heuristic base rates base-rate behavior beliefs bias biased causal analysis causal attribution causal explanations causal theories causes chapter characterization classical conditioning cognitive colleagues concrete condition consensus information consider correlation covariation Daniel Kahneman Daryl Bem debriefing demonstration diagnostic domains effects estimates everyday evidence example experience experimental failure formal fundamental attribution error given human hypothesis Illusory correlation impact important individual inferences inferential strategies inferential tasks influence intuitive scientist judgments Kahneman knowledge structures layperson less likelihood manipulations motivational Nisbett and Wilson normative object observers one's outcomes particular people's perception perseverance person preconceptions predictions predictor primacy effects probably probative problems processes psychology question regression relatively relevant reported representativeness heuristic response Ross sample sample bias schema script seems simple situation Social Psychology sometimes sophomore slump statistical stereotypes stimuli target tendency tion Tversky typical variable versus vivid information